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2016 election issues: How terrorism and immigration impact the race


The year 2016 has been plagued by near-daily terrorist attacks around the world. Last weekend Americans were targeted in two attacks: nine people were stabbed at a shopping mall in St. Cloud, Minnesota, while several explosive devices were discovered in New York and New Jersey. Fortunately, no one was killed.

To analyze how terrorism is impacting the U.S. Presidential race, we took a look at the data in Netvibes’ 2016 Election Dashboard: http://electiondashboard.netvibesbusiness.com/masterpage#Immigration

Netvibes election dashboard

 

Where terrorism is mentioned: North America and the Middle East

With the Netvibes dashboard, we can create maps to see where conversations are taking place. From a worldwide view, looking at the past 30 days, we can see that terrorism is mentioned most often around North America and the Middle East. Because this particular dashboard is set up to monitor the presidential race in the United States (learn more about the sources we’re analyzing here), it makes sense that North America would have many mentions. However, statistically Middle Eastern countries are most at risk for terrorist attacks, and we see that reflected in this chart as well.

Election dashboard - terrorism mentions

Within North America, terrorism is mentioned most often in New York, Orlando and the United States in general

From this map, we can see that over the past 30 days, most Terrorism mentions involve the United States in general (9.39k). New York/New Jersey follow closely behind in second place with 6.86k, driven up this week by the latest foiled attacks. Florida still remains high, in third place with 3.26k mentions, as articles continue to mention the June 12 Orlando nightclub shooting.

Election dashboard - terrorism mentions

No apparent link between Immigration and Terrorism

Because Donald Trump often links immigration with terrorism in his speeches, we wondered if we could find a similar pattern in the data. When terrorists strike, do people talk more about immigration? The answer seems to be no. In this chart, we see there is no correlation between the datasets. The spikes in Terrorism mentions mostly occur in response to attacks, such as July 14 (Nice, France) and September 19 (St. Cloud, Minnesota and New York/New Jersey). There was also a jump in Terrorism mentions on August 15 when Trump spoke about his terrorism plan. The jump in Immigration mentions can be attributed to Donald Trump’s immigation policy speech on August 25.

Election dashboard - immigration vs terrorism mentions

Immigration has become a top campaign issue

Immigration has become the focus of the Trump campaign since Steve Bannon of Breitbart took over on August 17. In this chart, we can see how mentions have increased in the weeks since.

Netvibes Election dashboard - top issues

Immigration sentiment

On August 25, Trump released his immigration policy, which is more moderate than expected and looks very similar to Jeb Bush’s plan. When we look at news and social sentiment on that day, we see that the initial reaction was largely neutral. Overall sentiment was 82% neutral, 12% positive and 6% negative.

Election dashboard - immigration sentiment

However, on September 1, the day of Trump’s immigration speech and visit to Mexico, we see the immigration conversation became far more polarized, showing 71% neutral, 19% positive and 10% negative.

Election dashboard - immigration sentiment

Clinton isn’t shying away from Immigration, either

Mr. Trump is clearly eager to talk about immigration, but he’s not the only candidate talking about it. This chart shows the top Twitter influencers around Immigration. Hillary Clinton has the third-most mentions, indicating that she would be happy to engage in a debate with Trump on this topic.

Election dashboard - immigration top commenters

You can explore the data for yourself on our 2016 live Election Dashboard. Keep following the blog for more weekly insights leading up to November’s election. You can also sign up for our weekly newsletter here: http://electiondashboard.netvibesbusiness.com/#Election_Updates

Is there an election issue you’d like us to explore? Leave a comment below.

———

Disclaimers

Written by Kim Terca of Netvibes. Any opinions expressed are my own, not my employer’s.

Analytics are based on a wide variety of online sources collected by the Netvibes dashboard, including news publications, blogs, videos and social media. To see all sources, please visit the Dashboard Tab titled “Sources.” Candidate polling data is sourced from The Huffington Post.

Netvibes’ Election dashboard is meant to provide a neutral analysis of available election data. It should not be considered an official statement by Netvibes, Inc. or Dassault Systèmes.

What’s being said about Clinton’s health? Insights from the Election Dashboard


U.S. Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton dominated headlines last week after nearly collapsing at the 9/11 memorial service in New York on September 11. Her campaign later announced she was suffering from pneumonia. How has Clinton’s recent health scare impacted the race? Let’s look at the data in Netvibes’ 2016 Election Dashboard to find out.

Netvibes Election Dashboard

Clinton’s health stole the show on 9/11

Perhaps not surprisingly, Clinton’s health scare led the conversation around 9/11. There were more mentions of Clinton’s health than mentions of either candidate in the context of 9/11. Overall, Clinton received many times more mentions around 9/11 than did Trump. This is essentially the opposite of a trend we’ve seen throughout the campaign, where Trump usually gets more mentions than Clinton.

Netvibes election dashboard

Interestingly, Trump garnered fewer 9/11 mentions in September than he did back in April when he was ridiculed for saying the 7/11 attacks. This finding is consistent with a theme we’ve seen throughout the 2016 race: candidate bloopers and scandals attract far more interest than actual election issues.

Netvibes election dashboard

Health mentions exceed other scandals

Since September 11, mentions of Clinton’s health have mostly drowned out coverage of her scandals, such as emails and Benghazi.

Netvibes election dashboard

When we look at the big picture, however, we can see that scandals for both Mr. Trump (Trump University and veterans donations) and Clinton (emails and Benghazi) are continuing to rise in popularity. Throughout the race, scandals have been drawing more mentions than important issues like tax plans and health care.

Netvibes election dashboard

Looking away from the scandals and focusing on actual election issues, we find that the most popular issue is Foreign Policy (33.39%), followed by Climate Change (30.42%), with Tax Plans (23.01%) in third place.

Netvibes election dashboard

The race is tightening

When we look at the polling data (source: Huffington Post), we see that Clinton and Trump are now running nearly even. Clinton holds onto the lead with an average 42% support in polls, with Trump two points behind at 40%.

Netvibes election dashboard

You can see the charts and explore the data for yourself on our live Election Dashboard here: http://electiondashboard.netvibesbusiness.com/  We’ll keep updating the blog with weekly insights leading up to the November election.

Is there an election issue you’d like us to explore? Leave a comment below.

———

Disclaimers

Written by Kim Terca of Netvibes. Any opinions expressed are my own, not my employer’s.

Analytics are based on a wide variety of online sources collected by the Netvibes dashboard, including news publications, blogs, videos and social media. To see all sources, please visit the Dashboard Tab titled “Sources.” Candidate polling data is sourced from The Huffington Post.

Netvibes’ Election dashboard is meant to provide a neutral analysis of available election data. It should not be considered an official statement by Netvibes, Inc. or Dassault Systèmes.

Video: Comparing the DNC vs. RNC Conventions during Election 2016


With the Netvibes 2016 Election Dashboard analyzing the buzz around the U.S. Presidential election, we took a look at the data from July’s Democratic National Convention (DNC) and the Republican National Convention (RNC) to see what differences we could discover between the two events. Watch the webinar video below to see us explore the data live on the dashboard.

Here are a few of the insights we discovered:

Top issues: Climate Change (DNC) vs. Foreign Policy (RNC)

We analyzed which election issues–tax plans, health care, criminal justice, etc.–were mentioned most often in news and social media around the two events. (To see all the sources we’re analyzing, visit the Sources Tab on the dashboard). At the Republicans’ convention, Foreign Policy was the top issue, while Climate Change dominated the conversation around the Democratic convention.

DNC top issues

Top issue at #DNC: Climate Change

 

Top issues RNC

Top issue at #RNC: Foreign Policy

…But Candidate Scandals are more popular than Election Issues

A theme we’ve seen throughout the campaign, the scandals of both Mr. Trump and Mrs. Clinton continue to top the political conversation. During the DNC and RNC conventions, Clinton’s email scandal was the #1 most-discussed topic, followed by her Benghazi scandal, followed by Foreign Policy in third place.

Election dashboard - candidate scandals

Speakers: Michelle Obama stole the show at DNC

We analyzed what was said around the speakers at Day 1 of the Democratic convention, which featured big names including Sarah Silverman and Elizabeth Warren, with Bernie Sanders headlining. As the runner-up candidate for the Democrats’ nomination, Sanders was naturally the most-mentioned person on that list. However, among the other speakers, First Lady Michelle Obama was by far the most popular. Mentions spiked during her convention speech and remained elevated for two days afterward.

Day 1 speakers DNC

Day 1 speakers at DNC: FLOTUS’s speech had staying power.

 

You can explore the charts for yourself on our 2016 live Election Dashboard. Keep following the blog for more weekly insights leading up to November’s election. You can also sign up for our weekly newsletter here: http://electiondashboard.netvibesbusiness.com/#Election_Updates

Netvibes Event Intelligence dashboards make it simple to measure and analyze the buzz around any event. For a free demo, contact us.

How candidate tweets impact the stock market


Netvibes election dashboard

Last week Mylan, maker of the EpiPen medical device, came under fire in the media for skyrocketing prices. The cost of a pair of EpiPens in 2016 now exceeds $600–a more than 500% price increase since 2009. EpiPens cost only a few dollars to make and can be life-saving emergency devices for people with food allergies.

On August 24, the day the EpiPen news cycle began, presidential candidate Hillary Clinton weighed in from her Twitter account, tweeting:

“EpiPens can be the difference between life and death. There’s no justification for these price hikes. http://hrc.io/2c7lhrs  -H”

https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/768508732623970304

On that day Mylan’s stock fell by 5%. Biotech stocks overall also took a hit, falling 3% (as measured by Nasdaq Biotechnology Index).  It’s now one week later, and stock prices have not yet recovered.

Because the media has pointed to Clinton’s tweet as a cause of the market downturn, we decided to take a look at the data in the 2016 Netvibes Election Dashboard to see if we could identify a correlation. Can candidate tweets really impact the stock market? It seems that yes, in certain cases they can.

 

Clinton vs. the Stock Market

  1. Mylan

When we look at Mylan’s stock, there’s a clear downturn after Hillary’s tweet was posted.

Netvibes election dashboard

  1. NASDAQ Biotechnology Index (NBI)

We found a similar effect in September 2015, when a drug called Daraprim skyrocketed to $750/pill from $13.50 overnight. On September 21, Clinton tweeted:

“Price gouging like this in the specialty drug market is outrageous. Tomorrow I’ll lay out a plan to take it on. -H”

https://twitter.com/hillaryclinton/status/645974772275408896?lang=en

In the days following, biotech stocks tumbled.

Netvibes election dashboard

Trump vs. the Stock Market

We wondered if we could find a similar trend with Clinton’s opponent, Donald Trump. Trump has posted many controversial tweets throughout the campaign, but we couldn’t find any impact on related stocks. For example:

  1. Apple

On February 19, Trump called for a boycott on Apple products, tweeting:

“Boycott all Apple products  until such time as Apple gives cellphone info to authorities regarding radical Islamic terrorist couple from Cal”

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/700796528844103680

But when we look at the stock prices, Apple’s stock just kept going up following Trump’s boycott.

Netvibes election dashboard

  1. Smith & Wesson

On June 13, the day following the terrorist shooting in Orlando, Trump told CNN:

“”If you had guns in that room … you wouldn’t have had this same kind of a tragedy”

CNN tweet: https://twitter.com/cnnpolitics/status/742333668132323328

Trump’s statement was immediately shared and debated across Twitter. Did it impact gun stocks, such as Smith & Wesson? Apparently not. SWHC stock actually declined slightly from June 12-14, before beginning its rise that continues today.

Netvibes election dashboard

Clinton vs. Trump tweets: What’s the difference?

Why have Clinton’s tweets sent biotech stocks tumbling, while Trump’s tweets seem to have no effect? It’s hard to say, but one possibility is that because Clinton is the odds-on favorite to win the election, the market takes her more seriously. The 538 blog currently gives Clinton a 73.8% chance of winning. If you have an alternate theory, please share it with us in the comments.

You can explore all these charts on the “Election & Stocks” tab on the Netvibes Election Dashboard. Stay tuned to the blog, where we’ll keep sharing dashboard insights leading up the the November 8 election.

Want to learn more about Netvibes dashboards? Contact us for a free demo.

 

Disclaimer

Written by Kim Terca of Netvibes. Any opinions expressed are my own, not my employer’s.

Analytics are based on a wide variety of online sources collected by the Netvibes dashboard, including news publications, blogs, videos and social media. To see all sources, please visit the Dashboard Tab titled “Sources.” Candidate polling data is sourced from The Huffington Post.

Netvibes’ Election dashboard is meant to provide a neutral analysis of available election data. It should not be considered an official statement by Netvibes, Inc. or Dassault Systèmes.

Monitor the Democratic National Convention with the Netvibes Election Dashboard


Last week the Republican National Convention was held, and this week it’s the Democrats’ turn. Monitor all the latest news from the conventions and analyze the social conversation with Netvibes’ live 2016 Election Dashboard.

Tune in for our free webinar this Thursday, where we’ll break down the top event trends from both conventions, using insights from the dashboard. Sign up for the webinar here: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/5811068862346496515

Netvibes election dashboard

 

2016 Election Webinar: Real-time campaign insights powered by Netvibes Dashboard Intelligence

Date: Thursday, July 28, 2016

Time:  8:00am PDT / 11:00am EDT / 4:00pm GMT / 5:00pm CET (webinar recording will be available afterward)

Register here: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/5811068862346496515

As the Democratic National Convention wraps up this Thursday, come participate (or just watch and listen!) in our webinar highlighting and predicting key insights around this year’s U.S. presidential election. Using a live Netvibes event dashboard, we will analyze trends and sentiment happening in real-time from the convention. We’ll also look at other insights around the 2016 race, including top voter issues, candidate scandals, and more.

The webinar is set to be interactive, so participants can ask questions while we analyze the dashboard data in real time. Join us by registering here.

Disclaimer

The Netvibes Election dashboard is meant to provide a neutral analysis of available election data. It should not be considered an official statement by Netvibes, Inc. or Dassault Systèmes.

Trump picks Pence for VP, as predicted by the internet


News broke today that Donald Trump has selected Governor Mike Pence to be his Vice Presidential running mate. What do people think about Trump’s choice? We took a look at the Netvibes 2016 Election Dashboard to find out.

Although Pence was not the most popular candidate overall on news and social media, the internet did, in fact, predict that Pence would be Trump’s pick.

Netvibes Election Dashboard

The Netvibes Election Dashboard collects a wide variety of sources to analyze the online conversation and understand what people are saying about candidates and top issues. In the dashboard’s VP tab, we are analyzing the vice presidential candidates for both the Democratic and Republican parties. Let’s break down the data:

Most popular VP candidate: Marco Rubio

Among the Republican VP candidates, Marco Rubio is the clear popularity winner in terms of positive-sentiment mentions. Rubio also garners the most mentions overall, more than doubling his closest competitor. In terms of positive mentions, Newt Gingrich comes in 2nd, followed by Chris Christie in a close 3rd. Mike Pence is a distant 4th.

Netvibes Election dashboard

Fastest-growing popularity: Mike Pence

However, when we look at the overall trend in mentions–that is, who became more popular over the last month–Mike Pence is the clear winner in this graph. In the last 30 days, Pence’s VP mentions have skyrocketed (linear regression, r = +4.84%), far faster than any other candidate. In this sense, we can conclude that the internet successfully predicted Pence as the VP pick.

Netvibes election dashboard - Republican VP

What about the Democrats?

Hillary Clinton is also expected to announce her running mate sometime this month. If we apply the same theory to the Democrats (looking at fastest-growth in popularity), then Clinton is likely to pick Tim Kaine as her VP. Over the last 30 days, Kaine’s mentions are growing faster than any other candidate (r = +1.59%).

Netvibes Election Dashboard - Democrat VPOn the other hand, if we look at highest number of mentions overall and positive sentiment, then Elizabeth Warren is dominating the Democratic VP race, even though her mentions have been on the decline for the past month (r = -2.15%)

Netvibes Election Dashboard - Democratic VP

Whom do you think Clinton will pick as her VP? Let us know in the comments. We’ll keep monitoring the race to see what happens.

Check out the live Netvibes Election Dashboard here, and keeping reading theNetvibes Election Blog for the latest insights. You can also sign up for our weekly newsletter, powered by Netvibes PushMail, by registering here.

To learn more about Netvibes Dashboard Intelligence for agencies and enterprises, please visit www.netvibes.com or contact us.

 

Disclaimers

Written by Kim Terca of Netvibes. Any opinions expressed are my own, not my employer’s.

Analytics are based on a wide variety of online sources collected by the Netvibes dashboard, including news publications, blogs, videos and social media. To see all sources, please visit the Dashboard Tab titled “Sources.” Candidate polling data is sourced from The Huffington Post.

Netvibes’ Election dashboard is meant to provide a neutral analysis of available election data. It should not be considered an official statement by Netvibes, Inc. or Dassault Systèmes.

Clinton’s emails and other scandals: Insights from the Netvibes Election Dashboard


How did the email scandal impact Clinton’s social media favorability? Is Trump still pulling ahead in the “Liar Race,” as we found in the last blog?

The 2016 U.S. Presidential race has been buffeted by multiple candidate scandals–Benghazi and emails for Hillary Clinton, Trump University and veterans donations for Donald Trump. We’re tracking it all on the Netvibes live Election Dashboard to understand what’s being said and how people feel about the biggest issues in the election.

Netvibes Election dashboard - candidate scandals

Check out the live Netvibes Election Dashboard here, and keeping reading the Netvibes Election Blog for the latest insights. You can also sign up for our weekly newsletter, powered by Netvibes PushMail, by registering here.

This month Clinton’s email scandal came to a head, with several major events impacting election coverage. On June 29, news broke that former President Bill Clinton had privately met with U.S. Attorney General Loretta Lynch on a Phoenix runway. The private meeting, which took place as the FBI was expected to conclude its investigation into Clinton’s email scandal, sparked public outrage and forced Lynch to announce on July 1 that she would follow whatever recommendations the FBI made in the email case. As we can see in the chart above, mentions of Clinton’s email scandal rose on July 1 and 2 around this news.

Then on July 5, the FBI finished its investigation and released its final report on the email case, exonerating Clinton of any criminal wrongdoing, while admonishing her actions as “extremely careless.” Naturally, mentions of Clinton’s email spiked on July 5, and mentions remained high for several days, before tapering off over the weekend.

Has the email scandal impacted the public’s perception of Clinton? We looked at several charts on the dashboard to find out.

 

Negative mentions are up, positive mentions are down

For both Clinton and Trump, negative mentions have been on the rise since April. But we can see a significant increase in negativity for Clinton over the past 2 weeks since the email scandal hit.

Netvibes Election dashboard - Clinton vs Trump

What are people saying about Clinton in the negative mentions? Terms like “Gross negligence” and “extremely careless” have spiked in popularity since the email report was released.

Netvibes election dashboard - negligence vs careless

Who’s the bigger “Liar?” Social media says Clinton.
In our last blog post, we found that both candidates are frequently accused of lying. Clinton has led on “liar” mentions for most of the race, but Trump was starting to pull ahead in late June, after the DNC opposition playbook leaked. How do the Liar charts look today?

Netvibes election dashboard - Liar mentions

We can see there’s been a sharp increase in Clinton’s “liar” mentions over the past several days since the email news broke.

Looking at a different chart, we can see Clinton’s increase in mentions from another angle. Throughout the race, Trump has generally dominated election coverage. But for the past 2 weeks, Clinton is running almost even in the total number of mentions (50.19% Trump vs. 48.05% Clinton). However, this increase in coverage has been mostly negative for Clinton, being driven by the email scandal.

Netvibes election dashboard

The good news for Clinton is that she is still polling ahead of Trump, although their numbers continue to inch closer. The Netvibes dashboard currently predicts that Trump will surpass Clinton’s poll numbers by January (well after the election ends in November).

Netvibes election dashboard - Trump vs Clinton polls

Stay tuned to the blog for more insights from the Netvibes Election Dashboard, or head over the Election dashboard to explore the data for yourself.

Want to learn more about Netvibes dashboards? Contact us for a free demo.

 

Disclaimers

Written by Kim Terca of Netvibes. Any opinions expressed are my own, not my employer’s.

Analytics are based on a wide variety of online sources collected by the Netvibes dashboard, including news publications, blogs, videos and social media. To see all sources, please visit the Dashboard Tab titled “Sources.” Candidate polling data is sourced from The Huffington Post.

Netvibes’ Election dashboard is meant to provide a neutral analysis of available election data. It should not be considered an official statement by Netvibes, Inc. or Dassault Systèmes.

Which candidate is a bigger “Liar”? Insights from the Netvibes Election Dashboard


The 2016 U.S. Presidential race continues to heat up, and the candidates, the media and the general public are sharing their thoughts across news articles, blogs, and social media posts. From now until Election Day in November, we are using a Netvibes Dashboard to analyze the social conversation, along with poll numbers and other available data points, to provide insights on what’s happening in the race.

Check out the live Netvibes Election Dashboard here, and keeping reading the Netvibes Election Blog for the latest insights.

Netvibes election dashboard

 

One of the more popular narratives this election season has been the idea that the candidates are dishonest, untrustworthy, or just plain lying. Donald Trump’s favorite nickname for his opponent, “Crooked Hillary,” follows this trend. Hillary Clinton has been accused of lying about emails, lying about Benghazi, lying about Bernie Sanders, and other topics. On the Democrats’ side, a recently leaked DNC opposition playbook lays out their case against Trump, with one of the major headers reading “Trump is a Liar.” Trump has been accused of lying about his net worth, lying about 9/11, and many other topics.

With all the accusations flying back and forth, we wondered which candidate is actually perceived as a bigger “Liar” in this race. So, we analyzed the data in the Netvibes dashboard to find out. Here’s what we found:

 

The “Liar” conversation has shifted.

We noticed an interesting shift in the data between May and June 2016 (we compared data from an equivalent 2-week period). In late May, Clinton had more “Liar” mentions (0.97% Clinton vs. 0.8% Trump). But now, in June 2016, Trump is ahead on “Liar” mentions (0.57% Trump vs. 0.53% Clinton).

Is this a temporary shift, or the start of a longer-term trend? We’ll have to keep watching the dashboard to find out.

Netvibes Election dashboard

Another trend we can see in this chart: Trump is still leading on overall mentions, but his margin is shrinking. In May, Trump led all Internet mentions, with 56.87% mentioning Trump vs. 41.36% Clinton. In June, the chart now shows Trump with 54.2% of mentions to Clinton’s 44.7%. Even as Clinton’s share of voice goes up, her “Liar” mentions are decreasing. Overall, “Liar” mentions for both candidates are on the decline.

Here’s another way of looking at the “Liar” data. With Netvibes’ “Compare to the Past” feature, you can instantly compare any chart on your dashboard to any period of time in the past.

Netvibes election dashboard

When we compare May 17-30 with June 6-20, we can easily spot the trends in the data:

  1. Liar mentions were higher in May than June
  2. Clinton was perceived as the bigger “Liar” in May, with 39.48% of mentions, compared to Trump’s 22.98%.
  3. In June, Trump is now perceived as the “Liar,” with 19.56% of mentions to Clinton’s 17.98%.

 

Overall, candidate mentions are going down

With Netvibes dashboards, you can easily customize charts and look at the same data in many different ways to uncover the key insights you’re looking for. Here’s a third chart, looking at Clinton and Trump mentions for the past 2 weeks only (June 6 – 20). We can see a clear downward trend. For both candidates, the number of overall mentions is going down, but Clinton’s numbers are dropping faster (-9.82% vs. Trump’s -3.26%). For both candidates, the number of “Liar” mentions is also decreasing, again with Clinton’s numbers dropping faster (-14.71% for Clinton vs. -8.13% for Trump).

Netvibes election dashboard

Want to know more? Check out the live Election dashboard to analyze the data for yourself, and keep following the Netvibes blog. You can also sign up for our weekly PushMail newsletter to read all the latest from the Election Dashboard. Sign up here:

http://electiondashboard.netvibesbusiness.com/masterpage#Election_Updates

 

Disclaimers

Written by Kim Terca of Netvibes. Any opinions expressed are my own, not my employer’s.

Analytics are based on a wide variety of online sources collected by the Netvibes dashboard, including news publications, blogs, videos and social media. To see all sources, please visit the Dashboard Tab titled “Sources.” Candidate polling data is sourced from The Huffington Post.

Netvibes’ Election dashboard is meant to provide a neutral analysis of available election data. It should not be considered an official statement by Netvibes, Inc. or Dassault Systèmes.

Social media and the Orlando shooting: Insights from the Netvibes 2016 Election dashboard


Early Sunday morning, June 12, a gunman entered the Pulse nightclub in Orlando, Florida. The tragedy left 49 dead and dozens injured in the deadliest mass shooting in U.S. history.

The event immediately influenced the 2016 U.S. presidential race, with candidates sharing their views on social media as the public and the press chimed in. To analyze the conversation, we took a look at the data in Netvibes’ 2016 Election Dashboard.

Netvibes 2016 Election Dashboard

 

You can access the live dashboard at http://electiondashboard.netvibesbusiness.com, where we will continue to track and analyze the race leading up to Election Day in November.

Here are a few insights we found following the Orlando shooting:

1. On guns and gun control, Hillary Clinton is mentioned more often than Donald Trump. However, Trump is leading on Orlando mentions overall, most likely because of his controversial comments following the event.

Netvibes 2016 Election Dashboard

In general, Trump tends to dominate all election topics, with the exception of guns and healthcare where Clinton leads. (See more charts on the Netvibes Election Dashboard: http://electiondashboard.netvibesbusiness.com/)

2. The conversation on gun control is emotionally driven. Both Clinton and Trump register high percentages of “positive” and “negative” mentions, with fewer “neutral” mentions. With most topics in general, we would expect to see neutral comments as the most common category. This pattern indicates an intense emotional response from people around gun control.

Netvibes 2016 Election Dashboard

3. More people are talking about the candidates’ views on Muslims. Muslims have been a popular topic throughout the election cycle, but after Orlando, mentions are at the highest level yet. Trump on Monday reiterated his proposal to ban certain immigrants, including Muslims, from entering the United States. Positive and negative mentions for both candidates are spiking across the board.

Netvibes 2016 Election Dashboard

You can analyze all this data and more on the Netvibes 2016 Election Dashboard at http://electiondashboard.netvibesbusiness.com. We will return next week with more insights from the dashboard. Let us know if there’s a topic you’d like us to investigate.

Want to learn more about Netvibes Decision-Making Dashboards? Contact us with questions or request a free demo.

 

Disclaimers

Written by Kim Terca of Netvibes. Any opinions expressed are my own, not my employer’s.

Analytics are based on a wide variety of online sources collected by the Netvibes dashboard, including news publications, blogs, videos and social media. To see all sources, please visit the Dashboard Tab titled “Sources.” Candidate polling data is sourced from The Huffington Post.

Netvibes’ Election dashboard is meant to provide a neutral analysis of available election data. It should not be considered an official statement by Netvibes, Inc. or Dassault Systèmes.

2016 U.S. Election Dashboard by Netvibes: Analysis of news, social mentions and polling data


If you’re interested in what people are saying about Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, and other election topics this year, check out the new Netvibes 2016 Election dashboard. We are gathering content from across the Internet, including news, blogs, and social media mentions, as well as external metrics, like candidate polling data, the S&P index, President Obama’s approval numbers, and more.

With the Netvibes dashboard, you can read and analyze everything in one place. Click here to access the dashboard: http://electiondashboard.netvibesbusiness.com

Netvibes 2016 Election Dashboard

 

The 2016 presidential election in the United States has been full of interesting twists and turns so far, and we still have six months to go until ballots are cast on November 8. We will continue updating this blog until Election Day, so keep checking the dashboard and stay tuned to the blog for more news.

Here are a few key insights we’ve discovered with the Netvibes dashboard so far:

  1. The more Twitter mentions that Clinton gets, the lower her poll numbers drop. We can see a clear, inverse correlation in the data: Twitter mentions are going up (+0.47%), while Clinton declines in the polls (-0.20%).

Chart: Clinton polls vs. Twitter mentions

By contrast, here is the chart for Trump. Twitter mentions for the Donald are stable over time, but his polling numbers are rising.

Chart: Trump polls vs. Twitter mentions

  1. Clinton is ahead in the polls, but her numbers are trending down, while Trump’s polls are trending up. Trump may catch up by November.

Let’s compare the two candidates’ polling data together. Using predictive analytics, the Netvibes dashboard currently projects that Trump’s poll numbers will continue to rise and eventually overtake Clinton on Nov. 13.

Chart: Clinton vs. Trump poll numbers

Please note, this prediction is changing rapidly in response to polling data. For example, in mid-May, when Trump reached his polling peak, the Netvibes chart predicted he would catch up to Hillary by June 7 (obviously, that didn’t happen). As Trump’s poll numbers began to soften in May, the chart’s prediction changed to June 25. Given the current data, the chart now predicts Nov. 13 (five days after the election ends).

  1. Across social media, candidate scandals are outperforming “Important Election Issues”

This insight may not surprise anyone who’s been following the news recently. The social buzz around Clinton’s scandals (Benghazi and Emails) and Trump’s scandals (Trump University and Veterans donations) is growing quickly, much faster than “Important Election Issues” including tax plans, foreign policy, or healthcare.

Chart: Candidate scandals

Chart: Important election issues

There is a lot more data to dive into on the Netvibes Election dashboard. Check out the dashboard and let us know what you think: http://electiondashboard.netvibesbusiness.com. Is there a chart you would like to see? Let us know in the comments below.

 

Shared Libraries

If you’d like to follow the Election news on your own personal Netvibes dashboard (sign up for free here), you can use one of our pre-curated source “Libraries.” Netvibes Shared Libraries are lists of selected content sources, which are searchable from the dashboard and shareable with other users. Want to learn more about Libraries? Click here. Shared Libraries are created, managed and shared by Netvibes Premium users. Contact us for a demo.

For the Election Dashboard, we are listening to 5 custom Libraries, which you can see in the “Sources” tab of the dashboard:

*Please note: Classification of publications being liberal or conservative is based on the informed opinions of Netvibes employees. This should not considered an official position of Netvibes Inc. or Dassault Systemes

We will return next week with more insights from the Election dashboard. Stay tuned!

Want to learn more about Netvibes Decision-Making Dashboards? Contact us with questions or request a free demo.

 


Disclaimers

Written by Kim Terca of Netvibes. Any opinions expressed are my own, not my employer’s.

Analytics are based on a wide variety of online sources collected by the Netvibes dashboard, including news publications, blogs, videos and social media. To see all sources, please visit the Dashboard Tab titled “Sources.” Candidate polling data is sourced from The Huffington Post.

Netvibes’ Election dashboard is meant to provide a neutral analysis of available election data. It should not be considered an official statement by Netvibes, Inc. or Dassault Systèmes.